Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.668588 0.830343 1.003031 1.199274 1.414402 1.641547 1.898055
2025-02-16 0.463882 0.689020 0.949897 1.265918 1.630943 2.033073 2.503779
2025-02-23 0.339078 0.586464 0.892342 1.280047 1.743386 2.267195 2.893164
2025-03-02 0.221221 0.465520 0.791971 1.226510 1.763935 2.386717 3.145274
2025-03-09 0.134209 0.361987 0.694883 1.160879 1.756440 2.462318 3.336602
2025-03-16 0.081155 0.292166 0.630703 1.127143 1.779829 2.567930 3.557218
2025-03-23 0.055358 0.260041 0.614578 1.152631 1.874151 2.756367 3.873619
2025-03-30 0.032919 0.223382 0.585441 1.155951 1.936943 2.904108 4.139762
2025-04-06 0.014769 0.181858 0.541248 1.133050 1.961960 3.002638 4.344629
2025-04-13 0.009010 0.171894 0.548750 1.183940 2.083999 3.221691 4.695441
2025-04-20 0.004955 0.162946 0.556397 1.234120 2.204591 3.438731 5.043833
2025-04-27 0.002796 0.159552 0.573529 1.298235 2.343943 3.679551 5.421587
2025-05-04 0.001792 0.163531 0.608059 1.394435 2.534657 3.994979 5.903094
2025-05-11 0.000391 0.155466 0.618246 1.453743 2.676473 4.250596 6.314345
2025-05-18 NaN 0.137028 0.603964 1.472695 2.761057 4.431838 6.632645
2025-05-25 NaN 0.100965 0.543679 1.413882 2.734519 4.468494 6.770577
2025-06-01 NaN 0.068641 0.480082 1.343291 2.687080 4.474975 6.868337
2025-06-08 NaN 0.048775 0.439399 1.306707 2.684986 4.537950 7.034309
2025-06-15 NaN 0.042281 0.435846 1.334310 2.775916 4.723283 7.354434
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033130 0.419722 1.337893 2.830707 4.860288 7.613192
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022090 0.389538 1.313120 2.841904 4.938301 7.796424
2025-07-06 NaN 0.021296 0.401732 1.368150 2.973019 5.177115 8.184788
2025-07-13 NaN 0.020467 0.413476 1.422331 3.102972 5.414558 8.571681